Re: [MLUG] solid state drives

["Jonathan King" <EMAIL:PROTECTED>]

On Fri, Jul 25, 2008 at 7:48 PM, Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED> wrote:
> On Fri, 25 Jul 2008, Mike Miller wrote:
>
>> I can't wait until those 64GB SLC drives cost $100.  I'll be loving
>> that.
>
> Jon King and others -- when will the first 64GB SLC SSD drive become
> available for $100 or less (ignoring S/H)?
>
> My guess:  2 years.

I'm not sure. 3 years would be closer to the historical projection, I
think.  Also, I think pretty soon we will really be seeing the Great
Network Shift for storage on more portable devices, which is where SSD
drives make the most sense. (Note that the speed comparisons at the
beginning of this thread are for very slow notebook drives, and not
the 10,000+ RPM super-SATA monsters we will likely have by then. So
even right now, you've got things like the iPod Touch which are really
just super-portable keyboardless computers (running Unix, in the case
of the iPod Touch), and they don't really need drives anywhere near
that big if they can get stuff off the network.

So in other words, I think most people will be more interested in
really portable subnotebook-y things that may not need SSDs per se. I
used to think differently, but I have been very impressed with how
fast I and most other people can type on what should have been really
suboptimal keyboards, and also by how little typing you can get away
with in many situations (namely, when you aren't at a desk).

Basically, when you have a device you hold in your hands to use, the
screen size can go down a lot because you are holding it much closer,
the keyboard doesn't have to be as big as I would have thought (by a
long shot), and if you can already get 64 GB on these things today
anyway...the real constraints seem to be things like wireless
connectivity (getting better every year) and battery weight/life
(definitely the biggest issue in the near future).

jking

> Mike
>
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