Re: [MLUG - DISCUSSION] interesting Indiana Primary point

[Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED>]

On Tue, 6 May 2008, Jonathan King wrote:

> As I write this, Clinton is up 52-48 in the state...but none of the vote 
> in Lake County had been counted yet. I will predict that she will end up 
> winning by less than 2%. This will boil down to falling further behind 
> in delegates by the end of the night, and then I'm not sure what will 
> happen.

A few minutes ago they had her ahead by 35,000 votes with about 300,000 
left to count and about 1,000,000 already counted.  She might still lose 
Indiana.


> Clinton will win big in Kentucky and West Virginia, but will lose in 
> Oregon; there aren't enough polls out in Montana or South Dakota to say 
> much about those races. She is now pretty much guaranteed not to win a 
> majority of pledged delegates or a majority of the primary popular vote.

By popular vote do you mean the portion shared by her and Obama, ignoring 
other candidates?  If not, will either of them have a majority?

For me the most important thing is which of the two can win in the general 
election.  If Hillary is the Prez candidate, she will invite Obama to be 
VP and he will either say yes or he is out of his mind.  If Obama is the 
Prez candidate, I'm not sure who will be his running mate, but it is 
possible that it will be Clinton, though she is a bit old for the job.  I 
think a Clinton-Obama ticket is a sure winner.  I also think that 8 years 
as VP will make Obama unstoppable in 2016, but they'd have to win 
re-election in 2012.  If they lose in 2012, Obama is still a likely winner 
for the Dems.  So I'd like to see the superdelegates do the right thing 
and negotiate a Clinton-Obama ticket.  Obama has a reasonable shot at 
"best president ever" if he can spend 8 years as VP just getting ready for 
his big chance.  He'd only be 55 when he taking office in 2017, which is a 
very good age for starting the presidency if you ask me.  No one will say 
that he lacks experience!

Mike

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