MLUG: [MLUG - DISCUSSION] bin Laden video is a forgery!
[MLUG - DISCUSSION] bin Laden video is a forgery!
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I find this to be a very credible claim:

http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2007/9/9/61032/95401

(The video freezes for the first time at about 1:56, not 1:36.) It also seems to me that there are many points where the video breaks and restarts - like it was edited at many positions. I don't know how hard it is for someone to impersonate bin Laden effectively, but I know that it would be easy for someone to fool me.

If the tape is fake, that explains a few things like bin Laden's beard color change, his newfound interest in Noam Chomsky and left-wing politics and the small number of references to religious principles. Experts agreed that the content of bin Laden's speech on the tape was strange and surprising. Trimming the beard is considered improper by many Muslims and dying the beard to look younger just doesn't seem like something bin Laden would do.

Here's more on the likely origin of the tape:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/09/09/wladen109.xml

My guess is that the tape is an obvious fake -- obvious to intelligence experts in the CIA and elsewhere. They are not saying it is real but that they are studying it:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,296202,00.html

The appearance of the tape at this time is convenient because it gives Bush a chance to mess with our heads during the time when the Petraeus report is about to come out. Here are some of Bush's comments:

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gXnUxn3LxuLFhLpIceTq5bQjxGhA

"It's important that we show resolve and determination to protect ourselves, to deny al-Qaida safe haven and support young democracies, which will be a major defeat to their ambitions.

"I found it interesting that on the tape, Iraq was mentioned, which is reminder that Iraq is a part of this war against extremists. If al-Qaida bothers to mention Iraq it's because they want to achieve their objectives in Iraq, which is to drive us out and to develop a safe haven. And the reason they want a safe haven is to launch attacks against America or any other ally.

"The tape is a reminder about the dangerous world in which we live, and it's a reminder that we must work together to protect our people against these extremists who murder the innocent in order to achieve their political objectives."


So part of the message is that Osama is linked to Iraq, in a sense, and this justifies further military action there. The idea that American intelligence had the tape before it hit the Islamist web sites is especially disturbing.


Mike

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