Re: [MLUG - DISCUSSION] News Alert: Iran's Leader Says He'll Release 15 Britons (fwd)

[Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED>]

On Wed, 4 Apr 2007, Jonathan King wrote:

> On 4/4/07, Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED> wrote:
> > For what it's worth, I believe the British boat was not in Iranian waters,
> > but I don't think the Iranian people believe that.
>
> The last I heard, it is not actually clear where the border is here 
> because of the way the Iran-Iraq war ended. We are talking about a 
> matter of several hundred yards here. The obvious reason why Iran would 
> be skittish about any incursions relates to the fact that there are two 
> US carrier groups and some other British forces in the Gulf; there are 
> rumors of imminent attack on a daily basis.

The Iranians first statement of the position was within Iraqi waters, but 
they then retracted that and gave a different position.  At least that is 
what the British are saying.


> At one time, I thought the expected attack was probable, but I think now 
> that it is less likely. Any public support gained by such a move would 
> be very short-lived, oil prices would probably zoom over $100 a barrel, 
> and there is a decent chance we could even lose some ships in the 
> bargain.

Zooming oil prices would be a good thing for some people.  I also don't 
think it will happen.

Mike

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