Re: [MLUG - DISCUSSION] [POLITICS] Biden is screwed

[Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED>]

On Thu, 1 Feb 2007, Stephen Montgomery-Smith wrote:

> I simply don't see how this is a liability for Obama.  It shows that he 
> has faced the hurdles that many youth in this country face, and has come 
> out the other side battered and bruised, but stronger for having faced 
> his failings.

It will hurt him just a little.  If he had never done it, he'd be better 
off.  People want a President who is a good role model for their kids. 
They don't want their kids to snort cocaine.


> Actually what I think the swing voter really hates in a politician is 
> disingenuousness.  Kerry and Clinton have this in spades.  I mean, Kerry 
> really was the flip-flop candidate - I don't think that was mere 
> electioneering, and Clinton with her many stances on the war is heading 
> the same direction.  Obama, on the other hand, comes across, at least on 
> first impression, as a man who says what he believes and believes what 
> he says.

I think Bill Clinton's "I didn't inhale" disingenuous remark hurt him.  I 
don't know how Hillary's war stance will affect her campaign - all of 
America follows a similar pattern of initial acceptance of the war 
followed by eventual rejection.


> I know very little about Obama, but when I heard him speak at the 
> Democratic Presidential Nomination, I was extremely impressed.  Right 
> now, all I have against him is that he speaks unfavorably of Bush, but 
> then again so does practically everybody else, so it is a mistake I can 
> easily forgive.

I don't think the Republican candidate for President in 2008 will be 
making many positive comments about Bush.  Bush's approval rating is very 
low.  He is blamed for the big loss of seats in the House and Senate, so 
he isn't popular with many congressman of his own party.

This is one reason a Republican will have a hard time winning the 
presidency this time:  Bush can't really help them much.  Usually the 
sitting president can do more to help his favorite candidate.

Mike

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