Re: [MLUG - DISCUSSION] last days

[Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED>]

On Wed, 6 Sep 2006, Christian M. Cepel wrote:

> a)  The Atlantic Ocean is quite a bit cooler this year than in recent 
> times past (~10 degrees if I remember correctly).

You do not recall correctly.


> b) NOAH has twice or thrice been forced to downgrade it's hurricane and 
> tropical storm forecasts for this storm season...  They started 
> somewhere in the realm of Many (as in more than ever before) at 
> increased severity, and then downgraded that forecast to, "A bit more, 
> not as strong", to "par for the course most years in strength and 
> number", to "less than the average in frequency, and strength."

You have a source for this?  It doesn't mean a lot to me but I am curious. 
I know that they were predicting fewer than normal a few months ago but I 
hadn't heard the earlier dire predictions.


> It appears that I cannot really trust whatever news source that was because 
> this is what's currently on their website:
> http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2678.htm which either a) was a 
> change, or b) my source was incorrect.

Well, what was your news source?  Why even bother us with your memories of 
things?


> They have lowered their predictions, but they still predict doom and 
> gloom. God forbid if it were a normal or sub-normal year.

Their job is to predict hurricanes and tropical storms accurately, not to 
influence people's emotions.  To you a hurricane, or the number or 
strength of hurricanes is a political and religious issue, but to me they 
are just storms.  I think it is probably the same for the NOAA scientists 
-- they don't care about the politics, they just want to predict 
accurately.

Mike

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