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On 6/5/06, Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED> wrote:
On Mon, 5 Jun 2006, Stephen Montgomery-Smith wrote:
>
> This problem is obviously important to ecology and is well studied:
> http://viceroy.eeb.uconn.edu/EstimateS. Chao's work on this is quite
> brilliant, but is essentially ad-hoc. I tried a Baysian approach, and
> its dependence upon priors is tremendous, and in any case it always seem
> to estimate too high.
I think a Bayesian approach is very reasonable for a problem like this
one. If it gives answers that appear incorrect, change the prior.
OK, so I think *this* is the difference between a mathematician like
Stephen and people like Mike and I who can't go running away screaming
from the data when there's a problem. We shrug and say, "well, let's
try something else". For somebody like Stephen, a statement like
"well, just try another prior" must seem horribly unprincipled.
jking
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