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- To: "MLUG Off-Topic Discussion" <EMAIL:PROTECTED>
- Subject: Re: FW: [MLUG - DISCUSSION] [POLITICS] interesting article from a former Bush supporter
- From: "Jonathan King" <EMAIL:PROTECTED>
- Date: Fri, 19 May 2006 22:30:54 -0500
- Delivery-date: Fri, 19 May 2006 21:31:46 -0500
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On 5/19/06, Mike Miller <EMAIL:PROTECTED> wrote:
On Fri, 19 May 2006, Rick wrote:
> Oddly enough, I believe they are currently experiencing just that. I've
> read articles that indicate there is currently a 3-1 male/female ratio,
> which has led to an increase in the abduction of female infants. The
> families are apparently kidnapping female babys in order to make sure
> their son has a bride...
The sex ratio is probably a little less than 1.2 boys per girl at birth
today. I haven't heard the kidnapping story. It doesn't make much sense.
Agree on kidnapping. It is true that they are on target to have
something like 40 million more men than can hope to marry in the next
decade and a half, and this will be a real problem. In case anybody
was unclear about how this was happening, it seems to be spectacularly
bad interaction between the one-child policy (nobody wants their only
child to be a girl), and a vigorous black market in portable
ultrasound units and their use to detect sex well before term. A
really depressing situation. I'm skeptical that the one-child policy
is demographically sound for more than a generation, so I expect
that's the change that will lead to a rebalance of the system. As the
Chinese become more wealthy, there is little reason to expect that
they won't choose to have fewer children on average, as essentially
every single other society has ended up.
jking
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