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On Mon, 1 May 2006, Rick wrote:
Are we really that far away from Blade Runner?
Yes. How long until we can create robots that look and act
indistinguishable from people? It won't be happening in the 2020s.
nor flying cars are really that far off...
History shows that the flying car is always farther off than you think it
is.
When it comes to predicting future innovations, I think your best bet is
to figure out what will make someone money. Is there any money in a cure
for cancer? Probably a little, but it makes a lot more sense,
financially anyway, to treat cancer. That way you grow your revenue
stream instead of eliminating it.
While I agree with those that would say this is a very cynical way of
looking at it, I also think that the companies spending billions on
pharmaceutical R&D are thinking the exact same thing. The only way I see
someone actually discovering and sharing a cure for cancer is if it's
from a university setting where the motives are somewhat different.
I don't agree. As soon as someone discovers a cure for cancer, he will
start to use it to make money - tons of it. If he hesitates, someone else
will make the discovery and revenues from treatment patents will dry up.
Mike
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