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On Sun, 8 Jan 2006, Jonathan King wrote:
On 1/8/06, Vern Green <EMAIL:PROTECTED> wrote:
So this brings into question to me, how can any of this DNA stuff be
trusted? How much of the existing research today is based on faulty
research of yesterday, probably very little I admit, but these are
questions that I have and while I could go out and study and find out
the answers, I do not have the time, intelligence, nor the willpower to
do that.
A really quick answer here: DNA evidence is tremendously useful to
*exclude* people from being the perp. If my DNA "fingerprint" doesn't
match the one from the crime scene, the game is over; it wasn't my DNA.
If it does match, the likelihood that it was me goes up, sometimes waaay
up. How far up? Well, that depends on having an appropriate
statistical model, and how many markers you can recover from the crime
scene sample, and a bunch of other things.
Right. And if the guy has an identical twin.
The thing is, today, if the forensic DNA sample is good enough, you can
lock it down to a virtual absolute that it was the suspect and no one
else, unless he has an identical twin that might have committed the crime.
Speaking of evil twins:
http://taxa.epi.umn.edu/bgnews/2005/msg00204.html
Clever.
Mike
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