Re: [MLUG - DISCUSSION] And so it begins...

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Things worth noting at this point:

If Bush doesn't win Ohio, he's sunk unless he can take back one of the light
blue states plus get both WI and NM.

If Bush does take Ohio, and gets either WI or NM, it's a done deal.

-N


Quoting Jason McIntosh <EMAIL:PROTECTED>:

> One problem noticed by the analysts is with Ohio - the numbers there 
> they've commented on are actually kinda interesting for this reason:
> Right now, it's mostly the RURAL areas reporting, NOT the urban areas 
> which is typically first to report.  This supposedly is due to long 
> lines.  Further, with that, the urban areas tend to vote Kerry - so 
> it's wayyy too early to say on Ohio.
> 
> Second, on Florida - there's the issue of the 1.6million or so ballots 
> (provisional or whatever they're called) - there's some reports that 
> they're from heavily democrat areas, but this is another one of those 
> its too early to say.
> 
> SO, who knows - I personally hope Kerry wins, but it's so close it's 
> hard to say, and the leanings right now seem to be towards Bush.  I'm 
> just going to wait a week or so for things to settle out.  Florida as 
> always I suspect is going to be a royal mess.
> 
> Jason
> 
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> On Nov 2, 2004, at 10:11 PM, Mike Miller wrote:
> 
> > On Tue, 2 Nov 2004, Jonathan King wrote:
> >
> >> At about 10:01 our time, I expect that they'll instantaneously call 
> >> California and Washington for Kerry (for a total of 66 EVs)
> >
> > You got that one right!!
> >
> >
> >> and then Minnesota soon after, to give us a nearly "even" race.
> >
> > Still waiting, but it looks good for Kerry here.
> >
> >
> >> And then they'll mess around for another 20 minutes and call Oregon 
> >> and Hawaii for Kerry, giving him a tiny lead in the electoral 
> >> college, and then drag out the hard states for the next 5 hours.
> >
> > That might mean that I need to hear the results in the morning.  I'll 
> > be up for a while though, maybe until 2:00.
> >
> > Mike
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