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Mike Miller wrote:
> On Tue, 4 May 2004, Stephen Montgomery-Smith wrote:
>
>
> I wouldn't say that I "believe in science" because I am not sure what that
> means. There are some things that I do feel are self-evident. Here's an
> example: If someone tells me that "X cannot occur" but I then see X
> occur, and I have no reason to doubt my senses, I feel it is self-evident
> that the original claim was false. That is, I believe in the value of
> evidence collected from the senses. That is a fundamental assumption in
> my way of coping with the world I live in.
>
Well let me illustrate my point with three conversations - the first two are
imaginary - the third happened to me last week.
=======================================
Scientist: Matter that we see around us is made of atoms.
Skeptic: How do you know this? Have you ever observed one of these atoms?
Scientist: No. But it is clear that atoms exist. One can assume that matter
is atomic in nature, and also assume that it is continuous. Then one goes
through a process of make deductions from either assumption, and observations
fit the atomic assumption.
Skeptic: Maybe there is a third alternative that we haven't yet thought of.
Scientist: Possibly. But we can also make predictions based upon our atomic
assumption, and so far observations bare out the many predictions. So the
atomic theory is definitely a very strong candidate.
Skeptic: How do you make these deductions or predictions?
Scientist: We use the laws of logic that have been passed down from generation
to generation since before I remember.
=======================================
Person: My son has schizophrenia.
Doctor: Take these pills.
Person: You mean everyone who takes these pills is immediately cured?
Doctor: No. We got two groups of people. One group received this pill
regularly. The other group received sugar pills. We observed these two groups,
fed the data into our calculators, consulted our oracle of statistical tables,
and decided that the results were statistically significant.
Person: Why did you give one group sugar pills?
Doctor: Because sometimes people who take sugar pills seem to improve because
they think they should, and we want to be sure that the real pills do better.
=======================================
Stephen: I've got a bad case of pink eye.
Friend: Make a tea from the herb eyebright and apply it to your eyes.
Stephen goes to see a Doctor.
Doctor: Here are some eyedrops. They contain an antibiotic, although most
likely you have a virus, but even so they should provide some soothing effect.
Stephen: I heard of a herbal remedy called eyebright.
Doctor: Don't bother. It is a waste of time.
So Stephen gets the eyedrops, and also eyebright teabags. The eyedrops sting
his eyes, and don't do any good. The eyebright brings an immediate and profound
soothing effect. Stephen does a web search for eyebright, and learns that many
people believe that eyebright has healing effects, but no-one has ever
scientifically verified these claims.
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